@article{ATM22901,
author = {Xin Han and Xiaonan Zheng and Ying Wang and Xiaoru Sun and Yi Xiao and Yi Tang and Wei Qin},
title = {Random forest can accurately predict the development of end-stage renal disease in immunoglobulin a nephropathy patients},
journal = {Annals of Translational Medicine},
volume = {7},
number = {11},
year = {2018},
keywords = {},
abstract = {Background: IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is the most common glomerulonephritis worldwide and up to 40% will develop end-stage renal disease (ESRD) within 20 years. However, predicting which patients will progress to ESRD is difficult. The purpose of this study was to develop a predictive model which could accurately predict whether IgAN patients would progress to ESRD.
Methods: Six machine learning algorithms were used to predict whether IgAN patients would progress to ESRD: logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine (SVM), decision tree, artificial neural network (ANN), k nearest neighbors (KNN). Nineteen demographic, clinical, pathologic and treatment parameters were used as input for the prediction models.
Results: Random forest is best able to predict progression to ESRD. The model had accuracy of 93.97% and sensitivity and specificity of 80.60% and 95.27%, respectively.
Conclusions: Machine learning algorithms can effectively predict which patients with IgA nephropathy will progress to end stage renal disease.},
issn = {2305-5847}, url = {https://atm.amegroups.org/article/view/22901}
}